Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T04:42:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x6684…e69a crypto 1608 markets active 5d ago coverage 6d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 5d only
✗ bot/MM pace (459 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$267 (+4%) realized +$267 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate63%902W / 534L
Drawdown36%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day458.9pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 6d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$1,385
sports 3% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (459 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-1.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 364 -58.6% -62.5% 24% 24% -52.2%
≤30d 1436 +9.4% -1.0% 63% 60% +6.9%
≤90d 1436 +9.4% -1.0% 63% 60% +6.9%
all 1436 +9.4% -1.0% 63% 60% +6.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover458.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.0% 60% +6.9%
10% ← realistic here -10.5% 56% -3.3%
15% -19.1% 50% -12.7%
20% -27.1% 42% -21.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +18% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt +18% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +32% → late -13% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$3 · ×0.97 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.64 per $1 lost it wins $1.64
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

6d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$267
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses902 / 534
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1436 / 1608
History coverage6d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day458.9
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1436 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 31¢ $14 5d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 41¢ $5 5d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 42¢ $5 5d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 42¢ $5 5d
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 43¢ $5 5d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 68¢ $5 5d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 66¢ $5 5d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 47¢ $5 5d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 48¢ $5 5d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 48¢ $5 5d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 49¢ $5 5d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 49¢ $5 5d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 49¢ $5 5d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 50¢ $5 5d
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 51¢ $5 5d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 75¢ $5 6d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 81¢ $5 6d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 70¢ $5 6d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 70¢ $5 6d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 69¢ $5 6d
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics BUY Athletics 73¢ $5 6d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 79¢ $5 6d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 79¢ $5 6d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Colorado Rockies 80¢ $5 6d
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies BUY Chicago Cubs 69¢ $5 6d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 67¢ $5 6d
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 66¢ $5 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 57¢ $5 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 40¢ $5 6d
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 39¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records