trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -49.6% | -54.4% | 29% | 29% | -37.2% |
| ≤30d | 34 | +8.4% | -1.9% | 38% | 38% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 37 | +9.3% | -1.1% | 41% | 41% | -4.9% |
| all | 42 | -3.7% | -12.9% | 36% | 36% | -23.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 36% | -23.9% |
| 10% | -21.2% | 33% | -31.2% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 33% | -37.8% |
| 20% | -35.8% | 31% | -43.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | Netherlands | 61¢ | 60¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | Yes | 45¢ | 42¢ | $50 | $47 | −$3 (-6%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $30 | $38 | +$8 (+26%) |
| Brazil vs. Japan: Team to Advance | Japan | 27¢ | 26¢ | $17 | $17 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 28 | $20 | −$10 | -50% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 26 | $15 | −$15 | -99% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 26 | $30 | +$13 | +44% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $20 | +$12 | +60% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Uzbekistan? | Jun 23 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Portugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $30 | +$21 | +70% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $10 | +$20 | +197% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 0 Haiti? | Jun 20 | $5 | +$28 | +550% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Haiti? | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | +$24 | +474% |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $25 | −$25 | -99% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $30 | −$17 | -55% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $31 | +$52 | +172% |
| Spread: Spurs (-4.5) | Jun 13 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 13 | $41 | −$3 | -8% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $15 | +$23 | +152% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 12 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $30 | +$24 | +79% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $51 | +$11 | +22% |
| Spread: Spurs (-7.5) | Jun 06 | $30 | +$24 | +79% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $31 | +$53 | +172% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 31 | $31 | +$39 | +129% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $30 | −$30 | -98% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | May 30 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Spread: Celtics (-3.5) | May 30 | $60 | +$58 | +96% |
| Celtics vs. Nets | May 30 | $30 | +$18 | +61% |
| Spread: Celtics (-8.5) | Jan 24 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-11? | Jan 11 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Spread: Liverpool FC (-0.5) | Nov 04 | $63 | −$63 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04? | Nov 04 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Nov 01 | $55 | −$55 | -100% |