Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:50:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x6681…08c0
crypto · 350 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$197 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$197 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$197
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses116 / 234
Open positions0
Markets (closed)350 / 350
History coverage24d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day27.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 350 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$33
7 days+$34
14 days−$24
30 days−$197
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$10 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$15 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$14 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$8 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$15 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$19 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$47 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$14 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$11 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$5 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $52 +$24 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$3 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$5 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $11 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $14 +$10 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$3 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$9 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $8 $0 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$208
world 6% +$15
other 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Up 50¢ $37 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $31 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $42 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $31 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $68 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $21 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $31 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $31 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $45 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $31 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $11 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $11 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $36 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $21 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $21 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $24 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $21 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $21 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $21 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $45 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $21 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $67 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $31 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 58¢ $32 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $21 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $21 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $25 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-26.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 +10.2% -0.3% 58% 54% -5.4%
≤30d 350 -18.5% -26.2% 33% 31% -16.5%
≤90d 350 -18.5% -26.2% 33% 31% -16.5%
all 350 -18.5% -26.2% 33% 31% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.2% 31% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -33.3% 28% -24.5%
15% -39.7% 23% -31.8%
20% -45.6% 20% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 750 history records