Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x666d…3de3
crypto · 26 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$15
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses11 / 14
Open positions1
Markets (closed)25 / 26
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day53.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$20
7 days−$20
14 days−$20
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 2¢ 32¢ $1 $16 +$15 (+1525%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$7 +136%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $8 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 37¢ $6 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $5 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $6 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $4 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $16 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $36 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-26.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -18.2% -26.0% 44% 44% -19.3%
≤30d 25 -18.2% -26.0% 44% 44% -19.3%
≤90d 25 -18.2% -26.0% 44% 44% -19.3%
all 25 -18.2% -26.0% 44% 44% -19.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.0% 44% -19.3%
10% ← realistic here -33.1% 32% -27.0%
15% -39.5% 28% -34.0%
20% -45.5% 20% -40.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16.25 · official $19.25 · 58 history records