Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T09:39:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x6665…65d4 crypto 1370 markets active 0h ago coverage 9d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 9d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (234 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$4,067 (-2%) realized −$4,067 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate80%1153W / 294L
Whale WR89%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$182per market
Trades / day234.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$53now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$6,650
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (234 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-16.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 959 -9.4% -18.1% 80% 53% -21.8%
≤30d 1447 -7.6% -16.4% 80% 47% -14.4%
≤90d 1447 -7.6% -16.4% 80% 47% -14.4%
all 1447 -7.6% -16.4% 80% 47% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover234.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.4% 47% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -24.4% 4% -22.6%
15% -31.7% 3% -30.1%
20% -38.4% 2% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
35% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 89% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -5% → late -11% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$19 vs −$121 · ×0.16 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.61 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

9d coverage
Net worth$53
Realized−$4,067
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses1153 / 294
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1447 / 1370
History coverage9d ⚠
Avg bet$182
Trades / day234.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1447 Trades
no open positions (257 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 15 $605 −$605 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 15 $340 −$340 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 15 $500 −$500 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2? Jun 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 15 $300 −$300 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 31? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 15 $605 −$605 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 14°C on May 31? Jun 15 $117 −$117 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 30? Jun 15 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Ju Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $343 −$343 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 −$10 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 15 $120 −$120 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 15 $34 −$34 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 15 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $43 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $87 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $98 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $50 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $55 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $91 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $84 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $161 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $87 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $86 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $84 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $115 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $50 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $66 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $80 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $156 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $46 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $29 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $47 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $55 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $78 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $71 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $77 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $98 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $53.10 · official $53.10 (match) · 3500 history records