Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:44:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x665f…9452
crypto · 437 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$497 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$491 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$119
Realized−$491
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses175 / 257
Open positions5
Markets (closed)432 / 437
History coverage96d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day6.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 5 History 432 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$6
14 days−$21
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Zach Lahn win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election? Yes 21¢ 100¢ $5 $25 +$20 (+376%)
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No 99¢ 99¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 34¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+194%)
Will GroenLinks–Labour Party (GL–PvdA) win the most seats in Rotterdam’s 2026 municipal election? Yes 13¢ 100¢ $1 $7 +$6 (+669%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+43%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 39¢ 100¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+156%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+30%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+127%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+127%)
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? Yes 80¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+25%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+53%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+37%)
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election? Yes 74¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+35%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+127%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 28¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+257%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 27¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+270%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 66¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+52%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +156%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$5 +186%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $5 −$3 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$1 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 09 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 08 $3 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 08 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 07 $3 +$2 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 07 $3 +$5 +186%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 05 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 05 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 04 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 04 $5 +$1 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 87% −$460
politics 4% +$22
other 4% −$59
sports 3% +$4
culture 2% −$1
world 0% $0
economics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 84¢ $5 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $0 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $3 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $6 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 +54.3% +39.6% 56% 56% -5.4%
≤30d 266 +33.0% +20.4% 53% 53% -8.0%
≤90d 421 +3.3% -6.6% 41% 40% -26.4%
all 432 +1.2% -8.4% 41% 39% -28.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.5 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.4% 39% -28.4%
10% -17.2% 39% -35.2%
15% -25.2% 31% -41.5%
20% -32.5% 24% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $119.22 · official $107.84 · 811 history records