Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T00:33:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x6655…0feb sports 5 markets active 2h ago coverage 10d
RISKYcopy with care sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Total PnL −$3 (-60%) realized −$2 · open −$2
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -100% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -100% what you keep after slip
Net edge-100%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 2L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day0.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 10d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -100% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -100% · $-wt -100% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$1 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized−$2
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)2 / 5
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day0.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 3 History 2 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 98¢ 54¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-45%)
Dota 2: Dandelions vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner Spirit Academy 98¢ 44¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-55%)
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner Spirit Academy 98¢ 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-79%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Aurora 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Team Liquid 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs VP.Prodigy - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Spirit 98¢ $1 1h
Dota 2: Dandelions vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Spirit Academy 98¢ $1 3h
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Spirit Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY Spirit Academy 98¢ $1 3h
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner BUY Aurora 58¢ $1 9d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner BUY Team Liquid 50¢ $1 9d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.22 · official $1.22 (match) · 5 history records