trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 50% | 50% | -6.4% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 50% | 50% | -6.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 50% | 50% | -6.4% |
| all | 17 | -7.3% | -16.1% | 35% | 35% | -19.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.1% | 35% | -19.8% |
| 10% | -24.1% | 35% | -27.4% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 35% | -34.4% |
| 20% | -38.2% | 29% | -40.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 57¢ | 50¢ | $400 | $355 | −$45 (-11%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 56¢ | 56¢ | $200 | $202 | +$2 (+1%) |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Over | 51¢ | 48¢ | $200 | $188 | −$12 (-6%) |
| Will Ivory Coast win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 21¢ | 21¢ | $100 | $100 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | No | 37¢ | 36¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $100 | $95 | −$5 (-5%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50 | $53 | +$3 (+7%) |
| Will Algeria win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 2¢ | $100 | $20 | −$80 (-80%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $16 | −$4 (-18%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5 | Jun 17 | $182 | +$301 | +165% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Jun 15 | $203 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $101 | +$58 | +57% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $203 | +$161 | +79% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $120 | −$118 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $51 | +$56 | +109% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $121 | −$120 | -99% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) | Nov 05 | $207 | −$207 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 02 | $20 | +$7 | +37% |
| Will Boston Celtics 2023-24 NBA Champions? | Jun 14 | $5 | −$4 | -86% |
| Will Croatia win the 2024 Euros? | Jun 14 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will England win the 2024 Euros? | Jun 14 | $28 | $0 | -1% |
| Will France win the 2024 Euros? | Jun 14 | $30 | −$3 | -8% |
| Will Serbia win the 2024 Euros? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | -30% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $20 | $0 | -2% |
| zkSync airdrop by June 30? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$11 | +56% |