Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x6649…4aa2
crypto · 105 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$15,343 -63%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15,308 · open −$35
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$190
Realized−$15,308
Unrealized−$35
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses55 / 187
Open positions2
Markets (closed)242 / 105
Avg bet$232
Trades / day3396.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 242 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15,308
7 days−$15,308
14 days−$15,308
30 days−$15,308
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $104 $149 +$45 (+44%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 0¢ 50¢ $0 $25 +$25 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 54¢ 50¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $35 $1 −$34 (-97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $142 $0 −$142 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $233 $0 −$233 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $115 $0 −$115 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $147 $0 −$147 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $186 $0 −$186 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $145 $0 −$145 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $204 $0 −$204 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $172 $0 −$172 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $142 −$142 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $233 −$233 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $147 −$147 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $186 −$186 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $145 −$145 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $162 −$162 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $172 −$172 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 12 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $161 −$161 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $174 −$174 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $123 −$123 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $94 −$94 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $192 −$192 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $263 −$263 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $244 −$244 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $159 −$159 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $183 −$183 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $164 −$164 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $129 −$129 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $189 −$189 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $168 −$168 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $130 −$130 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$110
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $12 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $19 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $16 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $24 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $23 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $29 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $14 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $0 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-59.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 242 -55.5% -59.7% 23% 15% -44.4%
≤30d 242 -55.5% -59.7% 23% 15% -44.4%
≤90d 242 -55.5% -59.7% 23% 15% -44.4%
all 242 -55.5% -59.7% 23% 15% -44.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3396.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -59.7% 15% -44.4%
10% ← realistic here -63.6% 11% -49.7%
15% -67.1% 5% -54.6%
20% -70.3% 2% -59.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $189.52 · official $165.89 · 3500 history records