Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x6640…e07a
other · 114 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$65 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$215
Realized+$5
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)32%
Wins / losses59 / 128
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions33
Markets (closed)187 / 114
History coverage7d
Avg bet$126
Trades / day457.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 33 History 187 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days+$3
14 days+$5
30 days+$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 83¢ 81¢ $42 $41 −$1 (-2%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? No 82¢ 80¢ $41 $40 −$1 (-2%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 85¢ 80¢ $40 $38 −$2 (-5%)
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 75¢ 74¢ $38 $37 −$0 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 47¢ 38¢ $24 $19 −$5 (-20%)
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 77¢ 78¢ $14 $15 +$0 (+2%)
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 43¢ 52¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+22%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 27¢ 36¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+31%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 9¢ 10¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in July 2026? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-20%)
Will Elon Musk post 1240-1279 tweets in June 2026? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-3%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in July 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-17%)
Will Elon Musk post 1400+ tweets in July 2026? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-22%)
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-85%)
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-25%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in July 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-25%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets in July 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-75%)
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -208%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 +843%
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$10 +19532%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$4 +1973%
Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$25 +50364%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -900%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -640%
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -667%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$4 +2948%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$2 -25199%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -190%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -164%
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -420%
Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1289%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -333%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -122%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 18 to May 20, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -93%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1209%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026? Jun 12 $1 $0 -33%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -282%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$2 -4492%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -200%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -2317%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -153%
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -141%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -2400%
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -529%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -80%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -2119%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 780-799 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$10 +10085%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -225%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1800%
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$2 -3600%
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from May 2 to May 4, 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -168%
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets in May 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$4 -8421%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 3¢ $1 0m
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 9¢ $4 14m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 75¢ $38 15m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 25¢ $12 15m
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 18m
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 34m
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 2¢ $1 44m
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 77¢ $14 1h
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets in July 2026? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1h
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 2h
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $4 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 2h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 2h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 82¢ $2 2h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 22¢ $11 3h
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 36¢ $1 3h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 3h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? SELL Yes 36¢ $1 3h
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $1 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+125.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 186 +139.3% +116.5% 31% 25% -9.5%
≤30d 187 +149.2% +125.5% 32% 25% -9.5%
≤90d 187 +149.2% +125.5% 32% 25% -9.5%
all 187 +149.2% +125.5% 32% 25% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover457.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +125.5% 25% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here +103.9% 21% -18.2%
15% +84.2% 18% -26.1%
20% +66.2% 17% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $214.77 · official $215.28 (match) · 3500 history records