Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:46:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
66 0x6640…c645 crypto 898 markets active 0h ago coverage 55d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$17 (+0%) realized +$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR49%break-even
Win rate49%439W / 459L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$17per market
Trades / day16.4pace
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$105
7 days−$332
14 days−$227
30 days+$171
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$521
other 2% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-15.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 59 -5.1% -14.1% 49% 49% -17.9%
≤30d 167 +1.2% -8.5% 53% 53% -7.7%
≤90d 898 -6.5% -15.4% 49% 49% -12.6%
all 898 -6.5% -15.4% 49% 49% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -15.4% 49% -12.6%
10% -23.5% 49% -21.0%
15% -30.9% 49% -28.6%
20% -37.6% 49% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +36% → late -49% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$16 vs −$16 · ×0.97 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

55d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses439 / 459
Open positions0
Markets (closed)898 / 898
History coverage55d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day16.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 898 Trades
no open positions (118 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $90 −$87 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 17 $95 −$92 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 17 $83 +$76 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 17 $66 +$61 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 17 $82 −$80 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $71 −$69 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 17 $77 −$75 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 16 $88 +$85 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 16 $83 +$76 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 16 $87 +$79 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 16 $83 −$81 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 15 $65 +$59 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 15 $53 +$48 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 15 $32 −$31 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $93 −$90 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $89 +$124 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$17 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$38 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $38 −$37 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$11 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $18 −$18 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $93 −$90 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $89 +$80 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $94 −$91 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $99 −$95 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $84 −$81 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$100 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $93 −$90 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $97 +$91 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $19 +$17 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $103 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $22 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $23 +$21 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$41 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$17 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $111 −$107 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $32 +$28 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $105 +$98 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$29 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $61 −$59 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $36 +$33 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$53 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$71 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $76 −$73 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $74 +$66 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $90 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $95 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $83 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $66 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $82 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $71 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $77 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $88 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $83 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $87 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $83 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $65 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $53 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $32 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $93 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $89 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $31 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $18 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $38 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $40 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $14 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $13 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $18 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $93 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $89 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $94 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $99 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $84 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $103 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1686 history records