Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:14:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x663d…b2b7
crypto · 39 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$92 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$515 · open −$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$123
Realized−$515
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses15 / 22
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions2
Markets (closed)37 / 39
History coverage4d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day15.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$439
7 days−$515
14 days−$515
30 days−$515
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $100 $102 +$2 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 23¢ 10¢ $50 $22 −$28 (-57%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 14 $52 +$53 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $53 −$50 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $93 +$130 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $105 −$105 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $51 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $104 +$124 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $207 +$20 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $26 +$14 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$11 +207%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$9 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$13 +251%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$543
sports 6% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $53 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $105 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $52 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $19 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $52 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $53 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $224 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $93 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $105 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $105 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $26 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $26 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $104 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-24.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -16.5% -24.4% 41% 38% -38.8%
≤30d 37 -16.5% -24.4% 41% 38% -38.8%
≤90d 37 -16.5% -24.4% 41% 38% -38.8%
all 37 -16.5% -24.4% 41% 38% -38.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -24.4% 38% -38.8%
10% -31.6% 35% -44.7%
15% -38.2% 32% -50.0%
20% -44.3% 32% -54.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $123.49 · official $152.87 · 76 history records