trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -5.6% | -14.6% | 75% | 0% | -12.6% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 85% | 0% | -8.5% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 85% | 0% | -8.5% |
| all | 20 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 85% | 0% | -8.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.8% | 0% | -8.5% |
| 10% | -17.6% | 0% | -17.2% |
| 15% | -25.5% | 0% | -25.2% |
| 20% | -32.8% | 0% | -32.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Drake have a #1 hit in the US in June? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $220 | $220 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $220 | $219 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will "Toy Story 5" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 77m? | No | 97¢ | 96¢ | $220 | $218 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 27 to June 29, 2026? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $75 | $75 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | No | 96¢ | 98¢ | $73 | $75 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Olivia Dean have a #1 hit in the US in June? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $64 | $63 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026? | Jun 27 | $219 | +$11 | +5% |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Jun 24 | $80 | +$8 | +10% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 24 | $79 | +$7 | +10% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026? | Jun 23 | $75 | −$49 | -65% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 171m and 184m | Jun 22 | $79 | +$7 | +9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 20 to June 22, 2026? | Jun 22 | $77 | +$4 | +5% |
| Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 145m and 158m | Jun 20 | $80 | −$18 | -23% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026? | Jun 20 | $77 | +$4 | +6% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19? | Jun 20 | $76 | +$6 | +8% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026? | Jun 19 | $58 | +$4 | +6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 19 | $77 | +$5 | +7% |
| Will the announcers say "Trump" during the England vs Croatia FIFA Wor | Jun 18 | $75 | +$5 | +7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026? | Jun 17 | $74 | +$4 | +6% |
| Will "Sweet Magnolias: Season 5" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | Jun 16 | $73 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 16 | $73 | +$4 | +5% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 15? | Jun 16 | $73 | +$6 | +8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? | Jun 15 | $73 | +$5 | +7% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco? | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -2% |