Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:19:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x6611…e510
crypto · 5 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$36 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses3 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage1d
Avg bet$80
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$36
14 days−$36
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $78 +$27 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $103 +$11 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $79 −$34 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $88 +$10 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$50 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 37¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $40 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Up 34¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET SELL Down 66¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET SELL Up 18¢ $45 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Down 87¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $25 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-25.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -17.4% -25.2% 60% 40% -17.8%
≤30d 5 -17.4% -25.2% 60% 40% -17.8%
≤90d 5 -17.4% -25.2% 60% 40% -17.8%
all 5 -17.4% -25.2% 60% 40% -17.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.2% 40% -17.8%
10% ← realistic here -32.4% 20% -25.7%
15% -38.9% 0% -32.8%
20% -44.9% 0% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 27 history records