trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 14 | $238 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 14 | $243 | $0 | -0% |
| Will "Cleaner" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | Jun 09 | $101 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "A Perfect Getaway" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? | Jun 09 | $100 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 09 | $78 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mike Pence win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 09 | $243 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Jun 09 | $240 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 08 | $243 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 08 | $242 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 08 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | Jun 07 | $60 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 07 | $184 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 06 | $210 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 20% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 15% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 15% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 15% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |