Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:57:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

66
0x6608…a502
crypto · 847 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)97%
Wins / losses822 / 25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)847 / 847
History coverage3d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day296.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 847 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$74
7 days−$20
14 days−$20
30 days−$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $98 −$48 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$6 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $49 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $50 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $48 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $48 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $48 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $44 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $49 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $48 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $49 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 847 +1.1% -8.5% 97% 1% -9.5%
≤30d 847 +1.1% -8.5% 97% 1% -9.5%
≤90d 847 +1.1% -8.5% 97% 1% -9.5%
all 847 +1.1% -8.5% 97% 1% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover296.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 1% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 1% -18.2%
15% -25.3% 0% -26.1%
20% -32.6% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1771 history records