trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 0% | 0% | -10.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -0.5% | -9.9% | 18% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -0.1% | -9.7% | 36% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 27 | -7.1% | -15.9% | 44% | 0% | -11.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.9% | 0% | -11.0% |
| 10% | -24.0% | 0% | -19.5% |
| 15% | -31.3% | 0% | -27.3% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -34.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 23 | $29 | −$1 | -4% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $29 | $0 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 19 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 18 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $30 | −$1 | -2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | May 26 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 25 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | May 23 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 23 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by May 31? | May 21 | $24 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump sell 2.5k-5k Gold Cards in 2025? | Dec 18 | $1 | −$1 | -56% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 28 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | Jun 16 | $2 | $0 | -24% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the Eastern Conference? | May 27 | $6 | −$1 | -17% |
| Will Sam Altman buy TikTok? | May 25 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'The Brave' win Crunchyroll's Best Anime Song Award for 2025? | May 24 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana dip to $110 in May? | May 23 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Canada in 2025? | May 22 | $8 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League? | May 22 | $23 | −$5 | -24% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 27 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on March 25? | Mar 27 | $14 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 21-28? | Mar 25 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Mount St. Mary's s vs. Duke | Mar 21 | $14 | $0 | +0% |