Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:55:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x65f2…c2fd
crypto · 94 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses46 / 47
Open positions1
Markets (closed)93 / 94
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day62.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Up 45¢ 90¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET SELL Up 35¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -0.5% -10.0% 49% 46% -10.1%
≤30d 93 -0.5% -10.0% 49% 46% -10.1%
≤90d 93 -0.5% -10.0% 49% 46% -10.1%
all 93 -0.5% -10.0% 49% 46% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 46% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 40% -18.7%
15% -26.5% 34% -26.5%
20% -33.7% 25% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.99 · official $1.68 (match) · 379 history records