trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 67 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 58% | 58% | -17.0% |
| all | 69 | +2.1% | -7.6% | 59% | 59% | -14.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.6% | 59% | -14.8% |
| 10% | -16.4% | 59% | -23.0% |
| 15% | -24.5% | 58% | -30.4% |
| 20% | -31.9% | 46% | -37.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies | No | 57¢ | 57¢ | $1,000 | $1,000 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | Over | 60¢ | 57¢ | $1,000 | $958 | −$42 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Games Total: O/U 2.5 | May 09 | $1,468 | −$1,446 | -98% |
| Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) | May 09 | $1,012 | +$633 | +62% |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 09 | $1,593 | −$1,439 | -90% |
| LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 | May 07 | $1,103 | +$1,173 | +106% |
| Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Punjab Kings | May 06 | $1,015 | −$896 | -88% |
| Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royals | Apr 28 | $1,345 | −$1,328 | -99% |
| Golden Knights vs. Utah | Apr 24 | $2,000 | −$1,971 | -99% |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5 | Apr 24 | $2,000 | +$1,348 | +67% |
| Utah vs. Golden Knights | Apr 21 | $2,155 | −$2,129 | -99% |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | Apr 21 | $6,049 | −$5,932 | -98% |
| USD.AI FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Apr 21 | $640 | −$567 | -89% |
| USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Apr 21 | $5,038 | −$4,748 | -94% |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be greater | Apr 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between | Apr 21 | $640 | −$640 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | Apr 21 | $800 | +$436 | +55% |
| Senators vs. Hurricanes | Apr 21 | $800 | +$562 | +70% |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between | Apr 18 | $475 | −$261 | -55% |
| Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less tha | Apr 18 | $108 | +$40 | +37% |
| USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch? | Apr 17 | $591 | −$591 | -100% |
| USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch? | Apr 17 | $125 | −$125 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Lightning | Apr 17 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Apr 15 | $2,000 | +$1,030 | +52% |
| Avalanche vs. Flames | Apr 15 | $2,000 | +$1,448 | +72% |
| Sabres vs. Blackhawks | Apr 14 | $2,000 | +$1,077 | +54% |
| Stars vs. Maple Leafs | Apr 14 | $2,000 | +$1,175 | +59% |
| Red Wings vs. Lightning | Apr 14 | $3,000 | +$2,215 | +74% |
| Canucks vs. Sharks | Apr 13 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |
| Golden Knights vs. Avalanche | Apr 13 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens | Apr 13 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Blackhawks | Apr 12 | $1,500 | +$1,086 | +72% |
| Capitals vs. Penguins | Apr 12 | $2,000 | +$1,333 | +67% |
| Rangers vs. Stars | Apr 12 | $2,666 | +$1,452 | +54% |
| Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Delhi Capitals | Apr 11 | $500 | +$549 | +110% |
| Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Sunrisers Hyderabad | Apr 11 | $800 | +$599 | +75% |
| Hurricanes vs. Utah | Apr 10 | $2,000 | −$137 | -7% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Miami Marlins | Apr 10 | $950 | −$950 | -100% |
| Canucks vs. Kings | Apr 10 | $1,000 | +$389 | +39% |
| Penguins vs. Devils | Apr 10 | $1,000 | +$961 | +96% |
| Flames vs. Avalanche | Apr 10 | $1,500 | +$509 | +34% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Islanders | Apr 10 | $1,500 | +$583 | +39% |
| Hurricanes vs. Blackhawks | Apr 10 | $3,500 | +$1,246 | +36% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Francisco Giants | Apr 09 | $3,350 | −$3,350 | -100% |
| Sabres vs. Rangers | Apr 09 | $1,000 | +$724 | +72% |
| Capitals vs. Maple Leafs | Apr 09 | $1,000 | +$724 | +72% |
| NRFI: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | Apr 08 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5) | Apr 08 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers | Apr 08 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |
| Spread: Oklahoma Sooners (-6.5) | Apr 08 | $1,200 | −$1,200 | -100% |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | Apr 08 | $3,000 | −$3,000 | -100% |
| Kraken vs. Wild | Apr 08 | $1,000 | +$429 | +43% |