Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:23:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x65e1…d5a2
crypto · 41 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$26 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$31 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$31
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses27 / 13
Open positions1
Markets (closed)40 / 41
History coverage1d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day65.0
Drawdown83%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$31
7 days+$31
14 days+$31
30 days+$31
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $92 +$27 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$9 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$31 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +17%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$11 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$5 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$42 +398%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -5%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$7 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $68 +$22 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$36
other 2% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $119 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $82 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $16 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $16 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $15 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $8 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $21 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $14 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $10 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-0.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 40 +10.1% -0.4% 68% 55% -5.4%
≤30d 40 +10.1% -0.4% 68% 55% -5.4%
≤90d 40 +10.1% -0.4% 68% 55% -5.4%
all 40 +10.1% -0.4% 68% 55% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover65.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.4% 55% -5.4%
10% ← realistic here -9.9% 45% -14.5%
15% -18.6% 38% -22.7%
20% -26.6% 28% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.06 (match) · 108 history records