Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:20:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x65bd…01d0
crypto · 325 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$14 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$14 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses175 / 150
Open positions0
Markets (closed)325 / 325
History coverage150d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown98%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 325 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$24
14 days−$24
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
US government shutdown Saturday? No 26¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $74 $0 −$74 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 28, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - January 31, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +166%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Feb 03 $150 +$15 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Feb 02 $50 −$49 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Feb 02 $50 −$40 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Feb 02 $100 +$33 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Feb 02 $70 −$20 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Feb 02 $159 +$13 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Feb 02 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Feb 02 $45 +$8 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Feb 02 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Feb 02 $20 +$4 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Feb 02 $100 −$68 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Feb 02 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Feb 02 $105 +$29 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Feb 02 $5 +$5 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Feb 02 $30 −$15 -51%
Solana Up or Down - February 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Feb 02 $10 −$10 -99%
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Feb 02 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Feb 02 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Feb 02 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Feb 02 $11 +$11 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Feb 02 $15 +$12 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Feb 02 $23 +$23 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Feb 02 $15 −$10 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Feb 02 $30 −$15 -49%
XRP Up or Down - February 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Feb 02 $5 +$6 +112%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Feb 02 $5 +$7 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Feb 02 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Feb 02 $10 +$9 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 1, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Feb 02 $10 +$12 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 1, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Feb 02 $5 +$18 +351%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% +$239
other 9% +$82
politics 4% −$249
world 2% −$80
finance 1% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $100 130d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $50 130d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $50 131d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 8¢ $10 131d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $50 131d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $50 131d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $50 131d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $20 131d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $30 131d
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $20 131d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-3.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -24.7% -31.8% 60% 20% -31.3%
≤30d 20 -24.7% -31.8% 60% 20% -31.3%
≤90d 20 -24.7% -31.8% 60% 20% -31.3%
all 325 +6.4% -3.8% 54% 50% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -3.8% 50% -8.8%
10% -13.0% 47% -17.5%
15% -21.4% 42% -25.5%
20% -29.1% 38% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 695 history records