trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 32¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Up | 39¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Down | 12¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? | Yes | 18¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Up | 18¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Down | 19¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Down | 27¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | Jun 14 | $7 | −$5 | -76% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET | Jun 14 | $25 | −$4 | -16% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET | Jun 14 | $12 | +$3 | +21% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +52% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | Jun 14 | $10 | −$5 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | Jun 14 | $5 | +$1 | +23% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET | Jun 14 | $11 | $0 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET | Jun 14 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | -13% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +23% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +19% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +36% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $2 | +$3 | +151% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | -22.9% | -30.2% | 50% | 36% | -26.9% |
| ≤30d | 22 | -22.9% | -30.2% | 50% | 36% | -26.9% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -22.9% | -30.2% | 50% | 36% | -26.9% |
| all | 22 | -22.9% | -30.2% | 50% | 36% | -26.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -30.2% | 36% | -26.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -36.9% | 23% | -33.9% |
| 15% | -43.0% | 14% | -40.3% |
| 20% | -48.6% | 9% | -46.1% |