trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 24 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.7% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30? | Jun 26 | $52 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Jun 26 | $1,314 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Jun 26 | $1,193 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Jun 26 | $1,212 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 17 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 17 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 17 | $28 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | May 15 | $56 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 15 | $35 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? | May 15 | $710 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | May 15 | $667 | −$1 | -0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? | May 14 | $668 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? | May 14 | $42 | $0 | -0% |
| Will John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 14 | $758 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 14 | $686 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 13 | $715 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) win the most seats in the next R | May 13 | $57 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | May 13 | $691 | $0 | +0% |
| Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 13 | $650 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Danny Willett win the 2026 Masters tournament? | Apr 06 | $61 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in April 2026? | Apr 06 | $70 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 06 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Apr 02 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 01 | $150 | $0 | -0% |