Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x659e…e521
crypto · 113 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$2 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses105 / 0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)105 / 113
History coverage6d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day19.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 8 History 105 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? No 96¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? No 97¢ 97¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 14? No 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 14? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? No 98¢ 98¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? No 97¢ 96¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Solana be above $70 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Will XRP dip to $0.90 on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Will XRP dip to $1.00 on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Will Solana dip to $40 on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Will Solana dip to $55 on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$2
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? BUY No 96¢ $1 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $1 1h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 June 8-14? BUY No 97¢ $1 2h
Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 8-14? BUY No 97¢ $1 2h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,650 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 5h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 14? BUY No 98¢ $1 13h
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 14? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 13h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 13h
Will the price of XRP be above $1.10 on June 14? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 13h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 17h
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 19h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 13? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 23h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $1 23h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 13? BUY No 97¢ $1 23h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 23h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 13? BUY No 98¢ $1 23h
Will XRP dip to $1.10 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 30h
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $1 38h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 39h
Will Ethereum dip to $1,550 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 39h
Will Ethereum reach $1,750 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $1 40h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY No 96¢ $1 40h
Will XRP reach $1.20 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 41h
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 41h
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 45h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY Yes 98¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 96¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $1 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 98¢ $1 2d
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 12? BUY No 97¢ $1 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 105 +1.8% -7.9% 100% 0% -7.9%
≤30d 105 +1.8% -7.9% 100% 0% -7.9%
≤90d 105 +1.8% -7.9% 100% 0% -7.9%
all 105 +1.8% -7.9% 100% 0% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover19.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.9% 0% -7.9%
10% -16.7% 0% -16.7%
15% -24.8% 0% -24.8%
20% -32.1% 0% -32.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.14 · official $8.14 (match) · 218 history records