trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | +172.5% | +146.6% | 100% | 100% | +146.6% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +42.2% | +28.6% | 100% | 30% | +75.8% |
| all | 19 | +17.0% | +5.9% | 95% | 16% | +61.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.9% | 16% | +61.9% |
| 10% | -4.3% | 16% | +46.4% |
| 15% | -13.5% | 16% | +32.2% |
| 20% | -22.0% | 16% | +19.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 64¢ | 64¢ | $586 | $581 | −$5 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? | No | 37¢ | 36¢ | $524 | $517 | −$7 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $255 | +$439 | +172% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $160 | +$275 | +172% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 08 | $187 | +$116 | +62% |
| Bill Clinton charged by March 31? | May 07 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | May 07 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | May 07 | $14 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru | May 07 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will there be at least 1400 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 202 | May 07 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | May 07 | $23 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 9? | May 07 | $183 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap | Feb 05 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Luís Marques Mendes win more than 26% of votes in the first round | Feb 05 | $13 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Google reach $420 in January? | Feb 05 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in January? | Feb 05 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January? | Feb 05 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MrBeast hit 500 Million subscribers by January 31? | Feb 05 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will BNB dip to $500 in January? | Feb 05 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Palantir reach $258 in January? | Feb 05 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Kraken IPO in 2025? | Jan 09 | $23 | $0 | +0% |