Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:36:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x656c…94eb
crypto · 1862 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$173 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$173 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$173
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses1208 / 726
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1934 / 1862
History coverage55d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day39.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1934 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days+$41
14 days+$140
30 days+$115
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 20, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 20, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Panthers vs. Senators Senators 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 12PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Panthers vs. Senators Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 5PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 5PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 3AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Rockets vs. Kings Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 10AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 3PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 2AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 3PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 1AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Islanders vs. Flames Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 12AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Canucks vs. Maple Leafs Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 6AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 1AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 12AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 15, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 4AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 8AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 12PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 9PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Eagles (-4.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 5PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Pelicans vs. Magic Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Blue Jackets vs. Utah Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Hawks vs. Warriors Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 6AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 22, 3AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 18, 11PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 8AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Málaga CF win on 2026-01-11? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 2PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 2AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-13.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 531 -12.4% -20.8% 66% 27% -7.6%
≤30d 950 -4.7% -13.8% 73% 37% -6.7%
≤90d 1934 -4.4% -13.5% 62% 42% -11.4%
all 1934 -4.4% -13.5% 62% 42% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover39.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.5% 42% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 31% -19.9%
15% -29.4% 26% -27.7%
20% -36.3% 22% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records