Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x6567…cbde
crypto · 116 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$7 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses75 / 40
Open positions1
Markets (closed)115 / 116
History coverage2d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day59.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 115 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $3 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +65%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 115 +3.1% -6.8% 65% 65% -6.5%
≤30d 115 +3.1% -6.8% 65% 65% -6.5%
≤90d 115 +3.1% -6.8% 65% 65% -6.5%
all 115 +3.1% -6.8% 65% 65% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 65% -6.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 65% -15.4%
15% -23.8% 57% -23.6%
20% -31.3% 37% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.87 · official $1.33 (match) · 192 history records