Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:45:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x6567…c807
other · 53 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
+$1,939 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,939 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,939
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses42 / 11
Whale WR (big bets)79%
Est. fees paid−$94
Open positions0
Markets (closed)53 / 53
History coverage86d
Avg bet$1,298
Trades / day3.6
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit36%
Chart Positions 0 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$613
7 days−$506
14 days+$1,552
30 days+$1,975
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score No 63¢ 0¢ $2,118 $0 −$2,118 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Surrey Surrey 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $602 +$53 +9%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $2,697 −$2,197 -82%
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 13 $903 +$98 +11%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $701 +$43 +6%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4,564 +$187 +4%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2,105 +$190 +9%
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1,002 +$83 +8%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $133 +$170 +128%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1,214 +$758 +62%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $903 +$106 +12%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? May 30 $31 +$80 +262%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $3,922 +$2,027 +52%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $51 −$50 -98%
T20 Blast: Worcestershire vs Warwickshire May 29 $502 +$79 +16%
T20 Blast: Hampshire vs Surrey May 29 $469 −$448 -96%
T20 Series England vs. India, Women: England vs India May 28 $2,342 +$642 +27%
Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo May 28 $1,031 +$285 +28%
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw? May 28 $46 −$46 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27? May 27 $1,305 +$177 +14%
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime? May 27 $4,165 +$306 +7%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giants May 27 $400 −$400 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? May 27 $800 −$800 -100%
Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-06? May 27 $300 −$300 -100%
Crystal Palace FC vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Draw at halftime? May 27 $682 +$194 +28%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? May 24 $737 +$273 +37%
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw? May 24 $203 +$147 +73%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19? May 19 $1,708 +$313 +18%
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12? May 12 $1,105 +$205 +19%
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-02? May 12 $1,585 +$191 +12%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28? May 12 $1,513 +$629 +42%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 24 $3,000 +$153 +5%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Rajasthan Royals Apr 06 $400 +$123 +31%
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-03? Apr 04 $300 +$33 +11%
Will Japan win on 2026-03-31? Apr 04 $1,220 −$314 -26%
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-04-03? Apr 04 $372 +$40 +11%
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Punjab Kings Apr 04 $400 +$97 +24%
Will India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 202 Apr 04 $3,010 −$14 -0%
US forces enter Iran by March 31? Mar 31 $2,827 +$102 +4%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-31? Mar 31 $1,533 +$232 +15%
Military action against Iran ends by March 31, 2026? Mar 30 $2,910 +$177 +6%
Will Ghana win on 2026-03-30? Mar 30 $760 +$45 +6%
Will Colombia win on 2026-03-29? Mar 30 $1,841 +$560 +30%
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Riders Mar 29 $899 +$10 +1%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27? Mar 28 $1,000 +$220 +22%
Will Uruguay win on 2026-03-27? Mar 28 $1,500 +$167 +11%
Will Andorra win on 2026-03-27? Mar 27 $613 +$37 +6%
Liverpool FC leading at halftime? Mar 27 $1,400 −$1,396 -100%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18? Mar 27 $2,510 −$1,684 -67%
Will Liberia win on 2026-03-27? Mar 27 $1,682 +$163 +10%
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st? Mar 27 $1,052 +$42 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% +$2,923
sports 17% −$1,292
world 14% +$308
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? SELL No 100¢ $654 39m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 92¢ $602 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 26¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 25¢ $11 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 25¢ $3 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 26¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 25¢ $3 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 25¢ $0 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 25¢ $7 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 25¢ $0 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 26¢ $52 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 25¢ $0 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 28¢ $20 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 28¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 29¢ $10 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 34¢ $31 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 63¢ $2,528 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half SELL No 99¢ $1,001 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 89¢ $201 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 89¢ $502 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY No 89¢ $201 2h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 94¢ $701 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 97¢ $3,003 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 6¢ $21 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 6¢ $21 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 89¢ $401 6h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 91¢ $1,103 7h
Bosnia-Herzegovina leading at halftime? SELL Yes 100¢ $1,086 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+60.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +208.7% +179.3% 90% 40% -17.6%
≤30d 27 +148.1% +124.4% 74% 52% -10.3%
≤90d 53 +77.3% +60.4% 79% 49% -9.9%
all 53 +77.3% +60.4% 79% 49% -9.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +60.4% 49% -9.9%
10% +45.0% 25% -18.5%
15% +31.0% 13% -26.4%
20% +18.2% 9% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 368 history records