Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:29:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x6564…47ce
crypto · 291 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$49 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$50 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$44
Realized+$50
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses142 / 146
Est. fees paid−$115
Open positions3
Markets (closed)288 / 291
History coverage8d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day228.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 288 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$279
14 days+$50
30 days+$50
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $10 $20 +$10 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 60¢ 74¢ $8 $10 +$2 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 52¢ 69¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+34%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 57¢ 86¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 53¢ 30¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-42%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 48¢ 26¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-45%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$6 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +71%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$8 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$2 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 72% −$144
crypto 18% +$141
politics 8% +$56
other 1% −$4
world 0% $0
tech 0% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 277 +1.8% -7.9% 49% 45% -13.4%
≤30d 288 +2.0% -7.7% 49% 45% -8.9%
≤90d 288 +2.0% -7.7% 49% 45% -8.9%
all 288 +2.0% -7.7% 49% 45% -8.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover228.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 45% -8.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.6% 40% -17.6%
15% -24.6% 36% -25.6%
20% -32.0% 30% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $44.40 · official $42.49 · 2099 history records