Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:32:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x655b…ec8b
sports · 423 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$20 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$26
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses342 / 74
Est. fees paid−$11
Open positions7
Markets (closed)416 / 423
History coverage41d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day20.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 416 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$22
14 days−$14
30 days−$14
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korpatsch Mia Pohankova 82¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+22%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch Tom Gentzsch 89¢ 88¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Hannah Klugman 78¢ 86¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+10%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Emma Raducanu 74¢ 69¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-7%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Harry Wendelken 76¢ 62¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-19%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic Aleksandar Vukic 68¢ 61¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Marc-Andrea Huesler 59¢ 60¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $9 −$2 -22%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova Jun 13 $3 +$1 +32%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $8 $0 +5%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $5 −$2 -42%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $8 $0 -4%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $10 −$1 -5%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Elena Ruxandra Bertea vs Eva Vedder Jun 13 $4 −$1 -20%
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Luna Vujovic Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Caijsa Hennemann vs Julia Avdeeva Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
ITF Varnamo: Aristotelis Thanos vs Niels Mcdonald Jun 13 $8 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $12 −$1 -5%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $8 $0 +4%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Sara Saito Jun 13 $10 −$1 -6%
ITF Wuning: Zongyu Li vs Mai Hontama Jun 13 $4 +$1 +28%
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Jun 12 $11 −$3 -24%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Jun 12 $8 −$3 -39%
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Kenta Miyoshi Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque Jun 12 $12 −$1 -7%
ITF Wichita: Ozan Baris vs Duncan Chan Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
Lyon: Felix Balshaw vs Clement Tabur Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $7 +$2 +30%
ITF Decatur: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Ekaterina Khayrutdinova Jun 12 $4 +$1 +28%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $11 −$3 -24%
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola Jun 12 $4 −$1 -26%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $7 $0 +4%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
ITF Martos: Pablo Martinez Gomez vs John Echeverria Jun 12 $6 +$2 +33%
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 12 $3 +$1 +32%
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Jun 12 $11 −$3 -28%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
ITF Nice: Tatiana Pieri vs Alina Granwehr Jun 12 $4 −$1 -18%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $11 −$1 -5%
ITF Casablanca: Luna Vujovic vs Carlota Martinez Cirez Jun 12 $12 +$1 +13%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $12 −$2 -20%
ITF Guimaraes: Matilde Jorge vs Savannah Broadus Jun 12 $8 $0 +3%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $4 −$1 -21%
ITF Wichita: Blake Ellis vs Sebastian Gorzny Jun 11 $2 −$1 -36%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $2 −$1 -35%
ITF Martos: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs John Echeverria Jun 11 $2 −$1 -32%
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa Jun 11 $3 −$1 -29%
ITF Wuning: Kyoka Okamura vs Varvara Panshina Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
ITF Wuning: Yujia Huang vs Ekaterina Maklakova Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
ITF Wichita: Lucas Marionneau vs Daniel Milavsky Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
ITF Wuning: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Priska Madelyn Nugroho Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic BUY Aleksandar Vukic 68¢ $3 5m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Harry Wendelken 76¢ $4 7m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo SELL Michael Mmoh 46¢ $2 9m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo BUY Michael Mmoh 49¢ $2 10m
Halle Open, Qualification: Tiago Pereira vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Tom Gentzsch 89¢ $4 13m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova SELL Anna Blinkova 89¢ $4 14m
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic SELL Robin Montgomery 94¢ $5 16m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo SELL Michael Mmoh 46¢ $2 16m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo BUY Michael Mmoh 55¢ $3 17m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo SELL Michael Mmoh 45¢ $2 20m
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Marc-Andrea Huesler 59¢ $3 21m
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 74¢ $4 23m
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Ajla Tomljanovic BUY Robin Montgomery 75¢ $4 23m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Hannah Klugman 78¢ $4 24m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo BUY Michael Mmoh 67¢ $3 24m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova SELL Hannah Klugman 71¢ $4 26m
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 62¢ $3 30m
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 78¢ $4 32m
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 69¢ $3 33m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Daria Kasatkina vs Anna Blinkova BUY Anna Blinkova 67¢ $3 38m
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp BUY Mia Pohankova 82¢ $4 38m
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 84¢ $4 41m
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 98¢ $5 45m
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt SELL Jamie Mackenzie 16¢ $1 49m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Hannah Klugman 47¢ $2 52m
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt BUY Jamie Mackenzie 40¢ $2 54m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova SELL Hannah Klugman 47¢ $2 1h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 74¢ $4 1h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova BUY Hannah Klugman 62¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano SELL Filippo Romano 62¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 324 -0.7% -10.2% 80% 19% -10.8%
≤30d 413 -0.1% -9.6% 82% 17% -10.1%
≤90d 416 -0.1% -9.6% 82% 17% -10.3%
all 416 -0.1% -9.6% 82% 17% -10.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 17% -10.3%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 6% -18.9%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.7%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $26.17 · official $26.18 (match) · 943 history records