Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:17:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x6556…dd73
crypto · 37 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$25 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$41 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$41
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses21 / 15
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)36 / 37
History coverage1d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day52.0
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$41
7 days+$41
14 days+$41
30 days+$41
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$11 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$12 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +82%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +23%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$5 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $8 +$19 +221%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$4 +198%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 14? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$37
sports 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-3.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +6.2% -3.9% 58% 56% +10.4%
≤30d 36 +6.2% -3.9% 58% 56% +10.4%
≤90d 36 +6.2% -3.9% 58% 56% +10.4%
all 36 +6.2% -3.9% 58% 56% +10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover52.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.9% 56% +10.4%
10% ← realistic here -13.1% 56% -0.2%
15% -21.5% 47% -9.8%
20% -29.2% 39% -18.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.05 · official $0.05 (match) · 100 history records