Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T12:26:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x6553…7a71
sports · 1399 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$30,630 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$31,107 · open −$477
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7,127
Realized+$31,107
Unrealized−$477
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses762 / 534
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$2,833
Open positions53
Markets (closed)1296 / 1399
History coverage16d
Avg bet$182
Trades / day160.2
Drawdown17%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 53 History 1296 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,533
7 days+$11,894
14 days+$27,506
30 days+$31,107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves Toronto Marlies 47¢ 100¢ $289 $614 +$325 (+113%)
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda BC Lietkabelis Panevezys 49¢ 56¢ $500 $562 +$62 (+12%)
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Emma Raducanu 80¢ 80¢ $500 $500 +$0 (+0%)
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos Olympiacos B.C. 70¢ 69¢ $478 $475 −$3 (-1%)
ITF Zagreb: Iva Primorac vs Elina Avanesyan Elina Avanesyan 77¢ 66¢ $500 $432 −$68 (-14%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 6.5 Corners Over 48¢ 46¢ $428 $414 −$13 (-3%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Over 61¢ 54¢ $436 $386 −$50 (-11%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 34¢ 40¢ $302 $349 +$47 (+15%)
Spread: BC Lietkabelis Panevezys (-5.5) BC Neptunas Klaipeda 59¢ 64¢ $308 $334 +$26 (+8%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners Under 53¢ 51¢ $279 $269 −$10 (-4%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 40¢ 42¢ $248 $257 +$9 (+4%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5 Under 49¢ 50¢ $245 $247 +$2 (+1%)
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda: O/U 159.5 Over 54¢ 31¢ $428 $246 −$182 (-43%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 11.5 Total Corners Over 27¢ 24¢ $256 $228 −$28 (-11%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners Under 51¢ 62¢ $174 $214 +$39 (+22%)
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Yannik Kelm Yannik Kelm 62¢ 62¢ $201 $200 −$1 (-1%)
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda BC Neptunas Klaipeda 51¢ 44¢ $228 $199 −$29 (-13%)
ITF Ceska Lipa: Georgii Kravchenko vs Jan Kumstat Jan Kumstat 53¢ 91¢ $106 $182 +$76 (+72%)
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Lucciana Perez Alarcon 69¢ 70¢ $141 $144 +$3 (+2%)
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas: O/U 163.5 Under 50¢ 53¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners Under 45¢ 44¢ $98 $95 −$2 (-2%)
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Lim Alina Granwehr 50¢ 80¢ $54 $87 +$32 (+59%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 41¢ 46¢ $75 $84 +$9 (+12%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners Under 42¢ 44¢ $67 $69 +$2 (+3%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 53¢ 54¢ $57 $57 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Gimcheon: Chan-Yeong Oh vs Geun Jun Kim Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Filip Peliwo vs. Arda Azkara: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Marco Trungelliti Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Jun 13 $371 −$371 -100%
Altmaier vs. Shelton: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Thespa Gunma vs. SC Sagamihara: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Barton vs. Sanchis: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Istanbul: Mert Naci Turker vs Alafia Ayeni Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kaja Juvan vs Guiomar Maristany Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will FC Universitatea Cluj win on 2026-05-23? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-7.5) Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $413 −$413 -100%
Deportivo La Guaira FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Club Blooming vs. Carabobo FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Boston Legacy FC win on 2026-05-22? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will CA Juventud win on 2026-05-21? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-19? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Luna Vujovic vs Selena Janicijevic Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club win on 2026-05-21? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Vanraure Hachinohe FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Geneva Open (Doubles): Behar/Pavic vs Arends/Pel Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5) Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Liberty: O/U 171.5 Jun 13 $294 −$294 -100%
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giants Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
ITF Wichita: Malaika Rapolu vs Maria Sholokhova Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
ITF Grado: Francesca Gandolfi vs Eleonora Alvisi Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Geneva Open: Francisco Comesana vs Jaume Munar Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Anna Sedysheva vs Vasilisa Taranova Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Blanch vs. Pavlovic: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Krajci vs. Gombos: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Kosice: Ane Mintegi Del Olmo vs Miriana Tona Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Wuning: Meiling Wang vs Maria Golovina Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
CD Palestino vs. CD Riestra: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Choinski vs. Andrade: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
CA River Plate vs. Club Blooming: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $178 −$178 -100%
Spread: Shanghai Shenhua FC (-1.5) Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification WTA: Kaja Juvan vs Anna Siskova Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
ITF Bol: Eva Bennemann vs Valentina Ivanov Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Mataro: Mae Malige vs Luis Garcia Paez Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
ITF Karuizawa: Ryota Tanuma vs Hiromasa Koyama Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: CD Cuenca (-1.5) Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Renofa Yamaguchi FC vs. Roasso Kumamoto: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $17 −$17 -100%
ITF Szentendre: Allegra Korpanec Davies vs Patricia Georgiana Goina Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jaime Faria vs Grigor Dimitrov Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Spread: CA Rosario Central (-2.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Kalinskaya vs. Korneeva: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% +$29,421
other 9% +$7,306
crypto 0% +$100
world 0% +$170
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: James Duckworth vs Aleksandar Vukic BUY James Duckworth 65¢ $5 17m
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 54¢ $5 22m
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 51¢ $5 25m
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 51¢ $5 26m
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-3.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 54¢ $2 26m
Robin Montgomery vs. Ajla Tomljanovic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 56¢ $9 26m
Libema Open (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Neel/Olmos BUY Neel/Olmos 41¢ $2 31m
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 70¢ $340 1h
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Panathinaikos BUY Olympiacos B.C. 70¢ $142 1h
Libema Open (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Neel/Olmos BUY Neel/Olmos 39¢ $2 1h
Libema Open (Doubles): Aoyama/Liang vs Neel/Olmos BUY Neel/Olmos 40¢ $2 1h
ITF Nice: Alina Granwehr vs Jenny Lim BUY Alina Granwehr 50¢ $55 1h
Spread: BC Lietkabelis Panevezys (-5.5) BUY BC Neptunas Klaipeda 59¢ $312 1h
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas: O/U 163.5 BUY Under 50¢ $102 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Under 45¢ $99 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 26¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 26¢ $4 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 52¢ $18 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Under 43¢ $24 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Under 59¢ $73 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners BUY Under 46¢ $104 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 61¢ $14 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 54¢ $25 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 41¢ $77 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 53¢ $14 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 53¢ $246 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 25¢ $13 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 53¢ $19 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 3.5 Corners BUY Under 52¢ $18 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Corners BUY Under 42¢ $43 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-6.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 699 -11.3% -19.7% 51% 47% +2.8%
≤30d 1296 +3.0% -6.8% 59% 54% +3.9%
≤90d 1296 +3.0% -6.8% 59% 54% +3.9%
all 1296 +3.0% -6.8% 59% 54% +3.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover160.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.8% 54% +3.9%
10% ← realistic here -15.7% 47% -6.0%
15% -23.9% 39% -15.1%
20% -31.3% 31% -23.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7,127.43 · official $7,133.97 (match) · 3500 history records