Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T07:05:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
65 0x654f…0283 crypto 105 markets active 7d ago coverage 8d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (89 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$90 (-6%) realized −$90 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate65%68W / 37L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day89.3pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$42
14 days−$93
30 days−$132
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$178
sports 2% +$46
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (89 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-7.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -9.1% -17.7% 62% 23% -21.9%
≤30d 105 +2.3% -7.4% 65% 44% -16.9%
≤90d 105 +2.3% -7.4% 65% 44% -16.9%
all 105 +2.3% -7.4% 65% 44% -16.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover89.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.4% 44% -16.9%
10% ← realistic here -16.3% 32% -24.9%
15% -24.4% 21% -32.1%
20% -31.8% 14% -38.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 19% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -8% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
31% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt -8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +8% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
6.1 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$10 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

8d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses68 / 37
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)105 / 105
History coverage8d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day89.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 105 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $29 −$29 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $28 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $34 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $30 −$4 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 10 $34 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 10 $32 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $29 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $27 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 10 $19 −$17 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 10 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 04 $84 −$74 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 04 $79 −$5 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 04 $79 +$8 +10%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $27 +$44 +165%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 03 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 03 $12 +$6 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 03 $11 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 03 $52 −$46 -89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 03 $4 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 03 $39 +$16 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 03 $27 +$9 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 03 $9 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 03 $21 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 03 $26 −$4 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 03 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 03 $22 +$11 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 03 $16 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 02 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 02 $28 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 02 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 02 $15 +$8 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 02 $82 −$67 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 02 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 02 $6 +$7 +111%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 02 $67 +$10 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$3 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 02 $7 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 02 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 02 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 02 $76 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 02 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 02 $3 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 02 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 02 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 02 $11 +$1 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $6 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 829 history records