Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x654d…ba8f
crypto · 291 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$10,229 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$10,229 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$10,229
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses179 / 563
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)742 / 291
History coverage2d
Avg bet$212
Trades / day2012.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 742 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10,229
7 days−$10,229
14 days−$10,229
30 days−$10,229
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 76¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Crewe Alexandra FC win on 2026-04-18? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Barrow AFC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 4.5 Over 11¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-18? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Mazatlán FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5 Under 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
UD Las Palmas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5 Over 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum end in a draw? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Mansfield Town FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5 Under 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Crewe Alexandra FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Barrow AFC vs. Walsall FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will V-Varen Nagasaki win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Mazatlán FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
UD Las Palmas vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will SG Dynamo Dresden vs. VfL Bochum end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Henan FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Mansfield Town FC vs. Luton Town FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $92 −$92 -100%
Will Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Gamba Ōsaka vs. Avispa Fukuoka: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
CA Talleres vs. CD Riestra: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$71 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
AZ vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$81 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Mantova 1911 vs. US Avellino 1912: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Stoke City FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Club Tijuana vs. CF Pachuca: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Grenoble Foot 38 win on 2026-04-17? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Tromsø IL: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$413
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $16 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $37 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $27 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $9 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $6 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $11 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $18 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $19 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $16 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $20 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $20 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $20 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $20 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $4 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $17 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $26 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $25 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $17 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $21 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $12 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $11 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $11 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-64.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 742 -60.9% -64.6% 24% 21% -22.9%
≤30d 742 -60.9% -64.6% 24% 21% -22.9%
≤90d 742 -60.9% -64.6% 24% 21% -22.9%
all 742 -60.9% -64.6% 24% 21% -22.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2012.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -64.6% 21% -22.9%
10% ← realistic here -68.0% 17% -30.2%
15% -71.1% 12% -37.0%
20% -73.9% 8% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.21 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records