Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:55:20+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x6542…b418
sports · 19 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$83 +23%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$91 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$91
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses3 / 15
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)18 / 19
History coverage216d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$43
14 days+$199
30 days+$150
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 10¢ 4¢ $15 $7 −$8 (-55%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Ninjas in Pyjamas 30¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 26¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs JD Gaming 24¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) KT Rolster 37¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 46¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs LGD Gaming 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs EDward Gaming 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs EDward Gaming 7¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Invictus Gaming 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Invictus Gaming 28¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 29¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana EDward Gaming 30¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Anyones Legend 28¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 11 $20 −$8 -39%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $36 −$35 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $26 −$25 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $36 −$35 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $26 +$130 +509%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $5 +$14 +276%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $10 +$178 +1845%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 17 $10 −$9 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 17 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 16 $11 −$11 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana May 16 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Mar 01 $30 −$30 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jan 27 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jan 27 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) Nov 09 $69 −$9 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 10¢ $15 1h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 20¢ $10 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $10 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 29¢ $36 6d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY JD Gaming 24¢ $26 7d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 13¢ $10 8d
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY EDward Gaming 7¢ $10 10d
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 25¢ $5 10d
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY ThunderTalk Gaming 53¢ $30 11d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Team WE 100¢ $156 11d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 16¢ $5 12d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 16¢ $10 12d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 16¢ $10 12d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 100¢ $19 12d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Top Esports 26¢ $5 12d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 5¢ $10 14d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY EDward Gaming 8¢ $10 14d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend BUY Anyones Legend 28¢ $10 26d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend BUY Invictus Gaming 28¢ $10 27d
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend BUY Team WE 26¢ $11 27d
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana BUY EDward Gaming 30¢ $8 27d
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas 27¢ $20 103d
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Ninjas in Pyjamas 37¢ $10 103d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend BUY Invictus Gaming 25¢ $10 136d
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend BUY Top Esports 48¢ $10 136d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) SELL T1 100¢ $93 215d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY T1 64¢ $20 216d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY T1 64¢ $40 216d
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5) BUY KT Rolster 37¢ $9 216d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)+50.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -69.6% -72.5% 0% 0% -79.8%
≤30d 14 +113.6% +93.2% 21% 21% +51.0%
≤90d 14 +113.6% +93.2% 21% 21% +51.0%
all 18 +66.1% +50.3% 17% 17% +19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +50.3% 17% +19.7%
10% +35.9% 17% +8.2%
15% +22.8% 17% -2.3%
20% +10.8% 17% -11.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.75 · official $6.75 (match) · 31 history records