Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:16:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x6540…8344
crypto · 1770 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$347 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$340 · open +$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized+$340
Unrealized+$7
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses740 / 802
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1542 / 1770
History coverage27d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day100.3
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1542 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$236
7 days+$547
14 days+$556
30 days+$340
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 45¢ 100¢ $6 $12 +$7 (+120%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 43¢ 100¢ $4 $10 +$6 (+132%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$5 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$19 +448%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$7 +733%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$3 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$6 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$16 +685%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$4 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$25 +578%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$539
finance 4% −$154
weather 1% −$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-1.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 543 +31.9% +19.4% 59% 57% +18.2%
≤30d 1542 +8.8% -1.6% 48% 47% -0.3%
≤90d 1542 +8.8% -1.6% 48% 47% -0.3%
all 1542 +8.8% -1.6% 48% 47% -0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.6% 47% -0.3%
10% ← realistic here -11.0% 46% -9.8%
15% -19.6% 46% -18.5%
20% -27.5% 45% -26.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.61 · official $20.01 · 3500 history records