Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x6535…be4b
crypto · 25 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses10 / 15
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)25 / 25
History coverage1d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day63.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 0 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$7
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Up 42¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $3 +$4 +123%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Spread: Australia (-1.5) Jun 14 $2 $0 +14%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 0.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 -21%
Australia leading at halftime? Jun 14 $1 $0 +19%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $4 +$4 +88%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 -39%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Morocco leading at halftime? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 56% −$12
sports 26% +$5
other 18% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 33¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-25.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 -17.4% -25.3% 40% 36% -22.9%
≤30d 25 -17.4% -25.3% 40% 36% -22.9%
≤90d 25 -17.4% -25.3% 40% 36% -22.9%
all 25 -17.4% -25.3% 40% 36% -22.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover63.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.3% 36% -22.9%
10% ← realistic here -32.4% 28% -30.3%
15% -39.0% 16% -37.0%
20% -45.0% 16% -43.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 77 history records