trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 18% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 14 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 28 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $105 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 28 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jamie Dimon win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 27 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 19 | $105 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026? | May 13 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | May 09 | $106 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 18 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | Apr 13 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 07 | $213 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 04 | $107 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Mar 19 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 15 | $107 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár? | Mar 13 | $107 | $0 | -0% |