Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:15:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

65
0x6506…15c0
sports · 389 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$142 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$120 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$121
Realized+$120
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses259 / 110
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions19
Markets (closed)369 / 389
History coverage57d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown54%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 19 History 369 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$34
14 days−$9
30 days+$104
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14? No 78¢ 94¢ $10 $13 +$2 (+21%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 15? No 76¢ 79¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+4%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 17? No 79¢ 80¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 74¢ 72¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? No 76¢ 73¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-4%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 68¢ 66¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage INOX Division 53¢ 67¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+26%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Nuclear TigeRES 69¢ 68¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 18? No 79¢ 78¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs GenOne - Map 2 Winner GenOne 55¢ 54¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner Alliance 72¢ 57¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-21%)
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Playoffs Virtus.pro 70¢ 55¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-22%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Vitality 71¢ 69¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-14? Yes 70¢ 44¢ $4 $2 −$1 (-38%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 53¢ 20¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-63%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$4 +88%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $5 +$4 +84%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? Jun 14 $8 +$2 +25%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs Jun 14 $5 +$4 +74%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Scotland to score first vs. Haiti? Jun 14 $5 +$2 +44%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - TESFED Leagu Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will CSD Colo-Colo win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +28%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$4 +78%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$4 +78%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $0 $0 +88%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $5 +$4 +78%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $5 +$5 +91%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $5 +$4 +88%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $5 +$4 +81%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $4 +$2 +34%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 13? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $8 +$1 +18%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $10 +$4 +46%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 60% +$39
other 24% +$66
crypto 13% +$12
weather 1% −$26
tech 1% +$11
finance 1% +$9
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs SELL TDK 99¢ $7 12m
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Serie BUY Nuclear TigeRES 69¢ $5 30m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Alliance - Map 2 Winner BUY Alliance 72¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $7 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16? BUY No 76¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 66¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs TDK (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY TDK 68¢ $5 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group SELL Leo Team 99¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs SELL Alliance 99¢ $7 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 67¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 99¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Monte 99¢ $7 3h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs SELL Metizport 99¢ $9 3h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Alliance (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Alliance 69¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 66¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 69¢ $5 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 14? SELL No 99¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 53¢ $5 5h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY INOX Division 53¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs SELL Clutchain 99¢ $9 6h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 71¢ $4 10h
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Ser BUY Virtus.pro 70¢ $5 10h
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs Clutchain (BO3) - United21 Playoffs BUY Clutchain 56¢ $5 12h
Will Raja Club Athletic win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 70¢ $4 14h
Scotland to score first vs. Haiti? SELL Yes 99¢ $7 14h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 52¢ $5 15h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 53¢ $5 15h
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Festina Lente 54¢ $5 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 52¢ $5 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-4.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -4.1% -13.2% 60% 60% -13.2%
≤30d 306 +5.9% -4.2% 72% 68% -5.6%
≤90d 369 +5.9% -4.2% 70% 67% -5.5%
all 369 +5.9% -4.2% 70% 67% -5.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.2% 67% -5.5%
10% -13.4% 59% -14.5%
15% -21.7% 49% -22.8%
20% -29.4% 14% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $120.74 · official $120.74 (match) · 796 history records