Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:25:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64ff…e13e
sports · 93 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$251 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$411 · open −$223
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$57
Realized−$411
Unrealized−$223
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses36 / 54
Est. fees paid−$179
Open positions3
Markets (closed)90 / 93
History coverage19d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day37.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 3 History 90 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$173
7 days+$256
14 days+$86
30 days−$411
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? No 63¢ 62¢ $57 $56 −$0 (-1%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 32¢ 0¢ $222 $0 −$222 (-100%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-75%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 16¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London Jun 14 $105 −$67 -64%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $76 −$76 -100%
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eagles Jun 14 $65 −$65 -100%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $24 +$92 +388%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $65 −$57 -88%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 11 $25 −$1 -6%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $48 −$48 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 11 $53 −$53 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 11 $224 −$203 -91%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 11 $556 +$25 +4%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $242 +$460 +190%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $99 +$51 +51%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $141 +$34 +24%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 10 $183 +$129 +70%
KBO: SSG Landers vs. LG Twins Jun 09 $64 +$23 +35%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 09 $24 +$31 +129%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $43 +$50 +114%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $20 +$27 +134%
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 08 $24 −$24 -100%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 08 $100 −$49 -49%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 08 $45 −$45 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $576 +$32 +6%
KBO: LG Twins vs. NC Dinos Jun 07 $28 +$44 +154%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on June 7? Jun 07 $23 +$36 +156%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo Jun 07 $15 −$15 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $150 −$103 -69%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $4 −$4 -100%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $18 −$18 -100%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. SSG Landers Jun 06 $20 −$2 -10%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Jun 06 $10 +$11 +114%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 06 $196 −$10 -5%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $243 +$3 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $11 −$11 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros Jun 05 $11 −$5 -44%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. Kia Tigers Jun 05 $25 −$25 -100%
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz Jun 05 $177 −$177 -100%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $50 +$29 +58%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 2? Jun 04 $51 −$51 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $374 −$347 -93%
KBO: LG Twins vs. KT Wiz Jun 04 $11 −$8 -75%
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Samsung Lions Jun 04 $119 −$66 -56%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 03 $29 +$43 +150%
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C or higher on June 2? Jun 03 $12 +$242 +2096%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $522 +$123 +24%
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 02 $256 +$277 +108%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 02 $12 −$12 -100%
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 02 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 02 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% −$947
other 2% +$14
weather 2% +$299
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 32¢ $10 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 32¢ $145 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 32¢ $24 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 31¢ $45 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL FUT Esports 84¢ $84 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL FUT Esports 72¢ $72 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 50¢ $25 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY FUT Esports 59¢ $89 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL G2 Esports 42¢ $8 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 36¢ $4 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 36¢ $4 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL G2 Esports 44¢ $44 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL G2 Esports 40¢ $20 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 29¢ $15 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 35¢ $18 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff SELL G2 Esports 48¢ $23 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 39¢ $20 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 0¢ $1 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 39¢ $16 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 39¢ $1 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 39¢ $1 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 39¢ $2 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL No 4¢ $8 2h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 2¢ $3 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London SELL Team Heretics 2¢ $1 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London SELL Team Heretics 2¢ $5 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 7¢ $4 3h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 12¢ $1 4h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 14¢ $1 4h
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT Masters London BUY Team Heretics 14¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-2.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +5.9% -4.1% 48% 39% -0.9%
≤30d 90 +7.6% -2.7% 40% 33% -14.3%
≤90d 90 +7.6% -2.7% 40% 33% -14.3%
all 90 +7.6% -2.7% 40% 33% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.7% 33% -14.3%
10% ← realistic here -12.0% 28% -22.5%
15% -20.5% 23% -30.0%
20% -28.3% 23% -36.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $56.85 · official $56.85 (match) · 801 history records