trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs | Team Vitality | 52¢ | 100¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+92%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+23%) |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+20%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 46¢ | 46¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs | FUT Esports | 57¢ | 56¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 50¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-16%) |
| Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner | Spirit | 49¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage | NRG | 26¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +42% |
| Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou | Jun 10 | $1 | +$1 | +97% |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage | Jun 10 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Valorant: FULL SENSE vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group S | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Valorant: FUT Esports vs BBL Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qu | Jun 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage | Jun 09 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video? | Jun 09 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C or higher on May 30? | Jun 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou | Jun 09 | $1 | +$1 | +76% |
| Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo | Jun 07 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo | Jun 06 | $5 | +$1 | +20% |
| Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Jun 02 | $2 | +$1 | +36% |
| Valorant: LOUD vs NRG (BO5) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Sta | Jun 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Valorant: LOUD vs NRG - Map 1 Winner | Jun 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs NRG (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Q | May 31 | $1 | +$1 | +97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | May 29 | $1 | $0 | +26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | May 29 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET | May 29 | $2 | $0 | -20% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 14 | -25.4% | -32.5% | 43% | 43% | -33.9% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 43% | 43% | -31.3% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 43% | 43% | -31.3% |
| all | 21 | -24.6% | -31.8% | 43% | 43% | -31.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -31.8% | 43% | -31.3% |
| 10% | -38.3% | 38% | -37.8% |
| 15% | -44.3% | 33% | -43.9% |
| 20% | -49.7% | 24% | -49.4% |