Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:36:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64f2…1ec7
crypto · 1768 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$70 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$70 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$70
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses1619 / 149
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1768 / 1768
History coverage55d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day34.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1768 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$7
14 days−$20
30 days−$161
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$70
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 300 -3.1% -12.3% 86% 25% -11.5%
≤30d 979 -1.8% -11.1% 90% 17% -13.2%
≤90d 1768 -0.5% -10.0% 92% 17% -10.2%
all 1768 -0.5% -10.0% 92% 17% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 17% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 5% -18.8%
15% -26.4% 2% -26.6%
20% -33.7% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records