trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -26.6% | -33.6% | 27% | 27% | -44.2% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -34.1% | -40.3% | 27% | 27% | -49.0% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -38.2% | -44.1% | 25% | 25% | -50.0% |
| all | 30 | -33.1% | -39.4% | 43% | 30% | -50.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -39.4% | 30% | -50.1% |
| 10% | -45.2% | 17% | -54.9% |
| 15% | -50.5% | 13% | -59.2% |
| 20% | -55.4% | 13% | -63.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Over | 49¢ | 50¢ | $50 | $52 | +$2 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 26 | $114 | −$113 | -100% |
| Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 26 | $30 | +$32 | +105% |
| Erling Haaland: 1+ goals | Jun 25 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | Jun 25 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 25 | $198 | −$41 | -21% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Corners AND Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U | Jun 23 | $10 | +$22 | +218% |
| Lionel Messi: 1+ goals | Jun 22 | $10 | +$11 | +105% |
| Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 3 Austria? | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | Jun 21 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Jun 20 | $10 | +$8 | +82% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 13 | $40 | −$39 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Jun 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Exact Score: China PR 1 - 1 Thailand? | Jun 09 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Exact Score: FC Bayern München 3 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC? | May 06 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me | Feb 10 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5) | Nov 01 | $36 | −$36 | -100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 29 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting? | Oct 24 | $250 | −$250 | -100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Oct 02 | $250 | +$30 | +12% |
| LoL: JDG vs AL | Sep 16 | $10 | −$8 | -80% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 8AM ET | Sep 05 | $20 | +$6 | +32% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 7AM ET | Sep 05 | $19 | +$1 | +5% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 5, 6AM ET | Sep 05 | $20 | +$2 | +12% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 5, 5AM ET | Sep 05 | $8 | +$1 | +14% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 5AM ET | Sep 05 | $8 | +$1 | +12% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1AM ET | Sep 05 | $9 | +$1 | +8% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Sep 04 | $200 | +$1 | +0% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 3, 4PM ET | Sep 03 | $40 | +$1 | +3% |