Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T07:58:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64e9…eb4c
sports · 93 markets active 6h ago
2.0score
+$140,590 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$140,590 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,868
7 days+$29,700
14 days+$74,477
30 days+$74,410
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Madrid Open: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 21¢ $4,850 $0 −$4,850 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 44¢ $13,200 $0 −$13,200 (-100%)
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics Chicago Sky 53¢ $1,516 $0 −$1,516 (-100%)
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Washington Mystics 20¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire PortlandFire 57¢ $5,700 $0 −$5,700 (-100%)
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28? No $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev Quentin Halys $525 $0 −$525 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Matteo Berrettini $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 17¢ $3,640 $0 −$3,640 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 39¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 76¢ $1,797 $0 −$1,797 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Mirra Andreeva vs Jil Teichmann Jil Teichmann 10¢ $1,985 $0 −$1,985 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Felix Auger-Aliassime 50¢ $10,000 $0 −$10,000 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 53¢ $7,950 $0 −$7,950 (-100%)
Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Arthur Fils Arthur Fils 15¢ $3,280 $0 −$3,280 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Madison Keys 57¢ $511 $0 −$511 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Raptors $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings Seattle Storm 14¢ $442 $0 −$442 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru Royal Challengers Bengaluru 58¢ $14,561 $0 −$14,561 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Rafael Jodar 21¢ $1,050 $0 −$1,050 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Chicago White Sox 36¢ $1,016 $0 −$1,016 (-100%)
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky Connecticut Sun 29¢ $943 $0 −$943 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $2,855 +$530 +19%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 12 $5,645 +$1,075 +19%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10,000 $0 -0%
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca Jun 11 $1,900 +$100 +5%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $17,286 +$6,276 +36%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $20,674 −$6,200 -30%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $8,811 +$73 +1%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $15,000 +$5,000 +33%
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 10 $991 +$13 +1%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries Jun 10 $3,700 +$1,300 +35%
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 10 $9,400 +$5,600 +60%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 10 $628 −$9 -2%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $3,385 −$17 -0%
Will Spain win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $491 +$6 +1%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $18,243 +$398 +2%
Seattle Storm vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 09 $4,696 +$576 +12%
Indiana Fever vs. Washington Mystics Jun 09 $8,152 +$1,894 +23%
New York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 09 $4,350 +$650 +15%
Chicago Sky vs. Toronto Tempo Jun 07 $9,108 +$5,892 +65%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $20,200 +$3,600 +18%
UFC Fight Night: Belal Muhammad vs. Gabriel Bonfim (Welterweight, Main Jun 07 $16,835 −$4,651 -28%
Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty Jun 07 $2,900 +$2,100 +72%
Washington Mystics vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 06 $13,895 +$3,000 +22%
Seattle Storm vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 06 $1,740 −$48 -3%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $3,600 $0 -0%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $9,000 +$11,000 +122%
Connecticut Sun vs. Chicago Sky Jun 05 $1,450 −$943 -65%
Phoenix Mercury vs. PortlandFire Jun 05 $11,400 −$5,700 -50%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 05 $1,016 −$1,016 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 05 $13,400 −$3,400 -25%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $7,400 +$2,600 +35%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 05 $6,100 +$2,726 +45%
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Fever Jun 05 $2,450 +$2,550 +104%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 04 $277 +$4 +2%
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 04 $13,201 +$16,799 +127%
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty Jun 04 $6,641 +$248 +4%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $32,777 −$4,982 -15%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 03 $47 −$20 -43%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Diana Shnaider Jun 03 $886 +$34 +4%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 03 $10,004 −$10,000 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 03 $25 +$75 +300%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca Jun 02 $13,200 +$13,237 +100%
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mystics Jun 02 $7,950 −$1,459 -18%
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverev Jun 02 $6,350 −$1,953 -31%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 02 $1,825 +$1,364 +75%
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings Jun 02 $6,153 +$1,656 +27%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $9,708 +$100 +1%
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettini Jun 01 $700 +$467 +67%
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 01 $18,400 +$11,560 +63%
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaider Jun 01 $511 −$511 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 84% +$134,039
other 16% +$6,552
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $960 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $2 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $3 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $3 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $1,653 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $450 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $3 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $2 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $936 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $2 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $6 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $83 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $3 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $2 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $6 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $112 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $3 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $571 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $3 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $2 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $7 5h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 63¢ $1,488 5h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire SELL Las Vegas Aces 82¢ $247 6h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire SELL Las Vegas Aces 82¢ $50 6h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $3,700 6h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire SELL Las Vegas Aces 82¢ $130 6h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire SELL Las Vegas Aces 82¢ $11 6h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 82¢ $46 6h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 82¢ $2,197 6h
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire BUY Las Vegas Aces 82¢ $16 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)+27.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +69.0% +52.9% 65% 48% +1.7%
≤30d 62 +45.6% +31.7% 65% 45% +8.3%
≤90d 93 +41.0% +27.6% 69% 42% +10.1%
all 93 +41.0% +27.6% 69% 42% +10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.8 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +27.6% 42% +10.1%
10% +15.3% 35% -0.5%
15% ← realistic here +4.2% 31% -10.1%
20% -6.0% 29% -18.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records