Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:12:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64e7…50d1
sports · 142 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$3,608 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,256 · open −$297
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$4,256
Unrealized−$297
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses43 / 98
Est. fees paid−$572
Open positions1
Markets (closed)141 / 142
History coverage60d
Avg bet$200
Trades / day4.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 141 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$131
7 days−$873
14 days−$1,341
30 days−$2,687
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 1.5 Under 49¢ 0¢ $300 $3 −$297 (-99%)
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 49¢ 0¢ $160 $0 −$160 (-100%)
Will AC Nagano Parceiro win on 2026-06-05? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
Gwangju: Liam Broady vs Tristan Schoolkate Liam Broady 59¢ 0¢ $236 $0 −$236 (-100%)
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) FC Bayern München 41¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bologna FC 1909 vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5 Under 19¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 44¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers Texas Rangers 42¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod vs. PFK CSKA Moskva: O/U 1.5 Under 30¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $395 $0 −$395 (-100%)
FK Spartak Moskva vs. FK Rubin Kazan: O/U 2.5 Under 38¢ 0¢ $240 $0 −$240 (-100%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Under 40¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5) Los Angeles Dodgers 44¢ 0¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
New York Liberty vs. Portland Fire Portland Fire 38¢ 0¢ $190 $0 −$190 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Timberwolves 36¢ 0¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Minnesota Twins 38¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
ACF Fiorentina vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5 Under 19¢ 0¢ $248 $0 −$248 (-100%)
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5 Under 45¢ 0¢ $195 $0 −$195 (-100%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 36¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC: O/U 1.5 Under 22¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5) PortlandFire 41¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
FK Pari Nizhnii Novgorod vs. PFK CSKA Moskva: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $208 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$34 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $208 −$200 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $27 −$25 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $104 +$107 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $106 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$100 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $105 −$100 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $104 +$107 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $105 +$248 +236%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 14 $406 −$33 -8%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 14 $201 +$27 +13%
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $407 −$400 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $102 +$242 +237%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 Jun 14 $454 +$807 +178%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $46 −$46 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $204 −$200 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $252 −$247 -98%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In Jun 11 $188 −$187 -100%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 11 $196 −$6 -3%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $223 −$220 -99%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $96 +$261 +272%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5 Jun 11 $93 −$31 -33%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $251 −$62 -25%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $252 −$248 -98%
Birmingham: Nikola Bartunkova vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 06 $162 −$160 -98%
Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $91 +$70 +77%
Kashima Antlers vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $408 −$400 -98%
Los Angeles Angels vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Jun 06 $305 −$300 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $862 +$757 +88%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 Jun 06 $204 −$200 -98%
Will AC Nagano Parceiro win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $255 −$250 -98%
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 1.5 Jun 05 $45 −$44 -98%
Mexico vs. Serbia: O/U 2.5 Jun 05 $198 −$195 -98%
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 05 $77 −$76 -98%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 05 $206 +$74 +36%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Storm Jun 04 $220 +$274 +124%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-5.5) Jun 04 $122 −$120 -98%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 04 $51 +$65 +128%
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 04 $208 +$286 +138%
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers Jun 04 $203 +$241 +119%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 3.5 Jun 02 $26 −$25 -98%
Morocco vs. Madagascar: O/U 2.5 Jun 02 $226 −$220 -98%
Slovakia vs. Malta: O/U 2.5 Jun 01 $253 −$248 -98%
Spread: Thunder (-3.5) May 31 $214 −$210 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 94% −$4,056
crypto 5% −$529
other 1% +$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $104 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $104 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $104 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $71 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 42¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $211 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $104 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $106 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $105 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $104 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $105 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox SELL Chicago White Sox 51¢ $372 7h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics SELL Athletics 99¢ $228 9h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 44¢ $102 9h
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 39¢ $305 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-30.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -22.0% -29.4% 27% 27% -26.2%
≤30d 80 -24.5% -31.7% 30% 30% -25.0%
≤90d 141 -22.9% -30.3% 30% 30% -23.5%
all 141 -22.9% -30.3% 30% 30% -23.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -30.3% 30% -23.5%
10% -37.0% 30% -30.8%
15% -43.0% 29% -37.5%
20% -48.6% 27% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.75 · official $2.75 (match) · 297 history records