Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:00:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
64 0x64db…9a6f crypto 1024 markets active 1h ago coverage 40d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 39d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (62 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$2,959 (+1%) realized +$2,959 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1008W / 18L
Whale WR98%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$412per market
Trades / day62.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$21now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$207
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (62 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 113 -1.4% -10.8% 97% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 560 -0.2% -9.7% 98% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 1026 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 0% -9.5%
all 1026 -0.1% -9.6% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover62.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 0% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 98% (≥$575) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.4 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$65 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.81 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

40d coverage
Net worth$21
Realized+$2,959
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1008 / 18
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1026 / 1024
History coverage40d ⚠
Avg bet$412
Trades / day62.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1026 Trades
no open positions (4 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$9 -945%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$7 -700%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET Jun 17 $260 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $267 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $250 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 17 $258 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET Jun 17 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET Jun 17 $250 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET Jun 17 $143 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $371 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 17 $300 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $500 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $346 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $372 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 17 $233 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $273 +$1 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $240 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $255 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 7PM ET Jun 17 $194 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET Jun 16 $238 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5PM ET Jun 16 $195 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $292 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $269 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 16 $293 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 16 $296 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET Jun 16 $394 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4PM ET Jun 16 $258 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET Jun 16 $117 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3PM ET Jun 16 $272 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 16 $267 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $205 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11AM ET Jun 16 $393 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10AM ET Jun 16 $50 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9AM ET Jun 16 $35 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET Jun 16 $245 +$1 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8AM ET Jun 16 $337 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 16 $320 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5AM ET Jun 16 $142 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 16 $309 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 16 $320 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2AM ET Jun 16 $624 +$1 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $335 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET Jun 16 $269 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1AM ET Jun 16 $287 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $430 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $297 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 12AM ET Jun 16 $293 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET Jun 16 $258 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11PM ET Jun 16 $322 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $260 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $192 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $65 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $258 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $250 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $34 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $300 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $214 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $276 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $96 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $6 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $137 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $250 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $380 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $115 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $265 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $107 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $320 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $27 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $21.22 · official $21.22 (match) · 3500 history records