Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:19:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64d7…f2d1
crypto · 1065 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$763 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,081 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,081
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses647 / 716
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1363 / 1065
History coverage100d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day21.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1363 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,038
7 days−$1,032
14 days−$1,010
30 days−$1,014
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - January 17, 9PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 12PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 5PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 2PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 16, 5AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 3PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 3AM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - January 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - January 17, 9PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 3, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 12PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 5PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 12, 2PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 16, 5AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 7, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -201%
Solana Up or Down - February 7, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 3PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 3AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
XRP Up or Down - January 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 8PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
Solana Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$10 -201%
XRP Up or Down - January 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 10, 4PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 8AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 8AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 17, 10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 28, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 19, 5PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 7, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 7AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
XRP Up or Down - January 16, 1AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
XRP Up or Down - February 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 5PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 5AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 5PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 31, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 9AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 9PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$2 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 19, 4AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 15, 10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 3PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
XRP Up or Down - February 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 20, 7PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 18, 1PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$14
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $2 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 21h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 23h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-30.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 465 -66.4% -69.6% 23% 22% -65.0%
≤30d 1037 -28.4% -35.2% 45% 44% -28.6%
≤90d 1182 -26.0% -33.0% 46% 44% -25.7%
all 1363 -23.0% -30.3% 47% 38% -22.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.3% 38% -22.8%
10% ← realistic here -37.0% 36% -30.2%
15% -43.1% 27% -36.9%
20% -48.6% 16% -43.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records