Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:51:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64d5…40d5
crypto · 64 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses27 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 64
History coverage4d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$12
14 days−$12
30 days−$12
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 68¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 48¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Down 26¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Up 59¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Up 23¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Down 36¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Down 47¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Down 45¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Down 24¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Up 51¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Up 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Up 52¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Up 56¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Up 62¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Down 21¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Down 58¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Down 58¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Up 49¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Down 47¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Down 56¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Up 57¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Down 46¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Down 60¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Down 34¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 41¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +83%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +110%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +351%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$12
other 16% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 4h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 4h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $1 7h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 8h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $1 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 12h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 12h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 13h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 14h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 15h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 15h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 64 -18.7% -26.4% 42% 42% -24.6%
≤30d 64 -18.7% -26.4% 42% 42% -24.6%
≤90d 64 -18.7% -26.4% 42% 42% -24.6%
all 64 -18.7% -26.4% 42% 42% -24.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.4% 42% -24.6%
10% -33.5% 41% -31.8%
15% -39.9% 39% -38.4%
20% -45.8% 34% -44.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 96 history records