Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:40:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

64
0x64d4…f056
sports · 902 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,454 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,651 · open −$803
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,801
Realized−$1,651
Unrealized−$803
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses417 / 459
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Est. fees paid−$879
Open positions27
Markets (closed)876 / 902
History coverage16d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day164.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 27 History 876 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,555
7 days−$1,787
14 days−$1,325
30 days−$1,651
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anubis Gaming 80¢ 65¢ $322 $261 −$60 (-19%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Spirit 73¢ 69¢ $261 $248 −$13 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner 9z 82¢ 100¢ $203 $247 +$43 (+21%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Aurora Gaming 98¢ 100¢ $231 $234 +$3 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Ursa 57¢ 100¢ $85 $150 +$64 (+75%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BetBoom Team 37¢ 100¢ $51 $139 +$87 (+170%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 2 Winner Team Vitality 67¢ 100¢ $90 $134 +$44 (+49%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 81¢ 100¢ $62 $77 +$15 (+24%)
Will Valtteri Bottas finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 94¢ 95¢ $62 $63 +$1 (+1%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Eintracht Spandau 68¢ 73¢ $57 $61 +$4 (+7%)
Counter-Strike: Gatorian vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Gatorian 24¢ 24¢ $50 $49 −$1 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs ex-Zero Tenacity - Map 1 Winner ex-Zero Tenacity 54¢ 100¢ $26 $49 +$23 (+85%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 67¢ 32¢ $87 $41 −$46 (-53%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 29¢ 35¢ $13 $16 +$3 (+22%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 30¢ 50¢ $7 $13 +$5 (+70%)
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Minkens finest 11¢ 4¢ $23 $9 −$13 (-59%)
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Forsaken 9¢ 16¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+79%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Spirit 52¢ 0¢ $133 $1 −$132 (-99%)
Will Brooks Koepka finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 70¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B struggletony 15¢ 0¢ $124 $0 −$123 (-100%)
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 1 Winner Anubis Gaming 37¢ 0¢ $291 $0 −$291 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage SPARTA 32¢ 0¢ $153 $0 −$153 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B XI Esport 21¢ 0¢ $82 $0 −$82 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Washed vs Invicta (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Invicta 3¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-98%)
Will Tommy Fleetwood finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 RBC Canadian Open? No 52¢ 62¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+18%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $120 +$48 +40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $120 +$116 +97%
Lehecka vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $323 +$166 +51%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $149 −$149 -100%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $94 +$21 +23%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $65 +$327 +500%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 12 $417 +$95 +23%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $76 −$14 -19%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $89 +$65 +73%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $9 +$36 +383%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 12 $22 +$31 +140%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $104 −$104 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $16 +$68 +435%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $29 +$4 +14%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $93 +$1 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $68 −$68 -100%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Quali Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $195 +$67 +35%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $9 −$9 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $45 +$3 +6%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $56 +$45 +81%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $38 −$38 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $30 +$16 +52%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $208 +$79 +38%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $424 +$356 +84%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $92 +$52 +57%
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5) Jun 11 $90 −$90 -100%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $36 −$36 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $11 +$9 +78%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $40 −$40 -100%
ITF Nice: Mathilde Lollia vs Maria Sara Popa Jun 11 $851 +$219 +26%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 86% −$3,796
crypto 13% +$1,117
other 1% +$223
culture 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 88¢ $2 12m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 88¢ $12 12m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 88¢ $87 12m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 77¢ $3 12m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 77¢ $14 12m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 77¢ $88 12m
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Forsaken 9¢ $3 13m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Eintracht Spandau 68¢ $58 15m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 70¢ $86 16m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 10¢ $3 19m
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 23¢ $6 21m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 73¢ $2 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 99¢ $10 22m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 75¢ $3 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 98¢ $16 22m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 75¢ $6 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 99¢ $24 22m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 80¢ $10 22m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 99¢ $37 23m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 88¢ $15 23m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 98¢ $57 23m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 81¢ $24 23m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 98¢ $87 23m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 85¢ $37 23m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 90¢ $56 23m
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anubis Gaming 83¢ $86 23m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 49¢ $89 31m
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 58¢ $47 32m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 34¢ $1 46m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 34¢ $4 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 430 -15.7% -23.8% 42% 36% -13.1%
≤30d 876 -8.3% -17.0% 48% 43% -11.4%
≤90d 876 -8.3% -17.0% 48% 43% -11.4%
all 876 -8.3% -17.0% 48% 43% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover164.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 43% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 36% -19.9%
15% -32.2% 30% -27.7%
20% -38.9% 25% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,800.80 · official $1,800.69 (match) · 3500 history records