trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +0.7% | -8.9% | 38% | 0% | -9.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 44% | 11% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 44% | 11% | -8.9% |
| all | 26 | +2.3% | -7.4% | 42% | 12% | -8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.4% | 12% | -8.0% |
| 10% | -16.3% | 4% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -24.4% | 0% | -24.8% |
| 20% | -31.8% | 0% | -32.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15? | Jun 19 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 19 | $66 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $30 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 15 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 13 | $31 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $24 | +$1 | +3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | Jun 11 | $2 | $0 | +18% |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jan 31 | $2 | +$1 | +33% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | Jan 31 | $0 | $0 | -8% |
| Will Elon Musk be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? | Jan 31 | $2 | $0 | -10% |
| Will Fulham win on 2025-12-02? | Dec 11 | $40 | +$6 | +14% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2025-12-03? | Nov 25 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29? | Nov 25 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? | Nov 21 | $19 | +$1 | +6% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October? | Nov 14 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026? | Oct 19 | $19 | $0 | -0% |
| Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31? | Oct 19 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election? | Oct 18 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Trump out as President in 2025? | Oct 18 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31? | Oct 17 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Oct 17 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Oct 14 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025? | Oct 14 | $17 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Oct 13 | $6 | $0 | -0% |